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For obvious reasons, convicts are excluded from the dating pool.And many women also steer clear of ex-cons, which makes a big difference when one young black man in three can expect to be locked up at some point.Her advice to single black women is pragmatic: love yourself, communicate better and so on.She says that many black men and women, having been brought up by single mothers, are unsure what role a man should play in the home.You would be wrong, argues Tim Harford, a British economist, in a book called “The Logic of Life”. That newly single woman then ups her game, too, to steal a man from someone else. Before long, every woman has to try harder, and every man can relax a little.With 20 women pursuing 19 men, one woman faces the prospect of spinsterhood. Real life is more complicated, of course, but this simple model illustrates an important truth. And among African-Americans, the disparity is much worse than in Mr Harford's imaginary example.Their college-educated sisters fare better, but are still affected by the sex imbalance.Because most seek husbands of the same race—96% of married black women are married to black men—they are ultimately fishing in the same pool.

Since the numbers are even, everyone can find a partner. You might not think this would make much difference. Somehow or other, she “steals” a man from one of her fellow women.

Mr Charles and Mr Luoh controlled for crime rates, as a proxy for social dysfunction, and found that it made no difference to their results.

They concluded that “higher male imprisonment has lowered the likelihood that women marry…and caused a shift in the gains from marriage away from women and towards men.” Learning and earning Similar problems afflict working-class whites, but they are more concentrated among blacks. The collapse of the traditional family has made black Americans far poorer and lonelier than they would otherwise have been. In 2007 only 11% of US-born black women aged 30-44 without a high school diploma had a working spouse, according to the Pew Research Centre.

Between the ages of 20 and 29, one black man in nine is behind bars.

For black women of the same age, the figure is about one in 150.

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